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Guotai Junan: A shares are expected to go out of the New Year's market. Recently, Guotai Junan's 2025 strategy meeting will be held in Shenzhen. The conference made an in-depth discussion and comprehensive outlook on the hot topics of market concern and the investment strategy in 2025. Fang Yi, chief strategist of Guotai Junan, said in an interview that the bottom of the A-share market has emerged, which is optimistic about the prospects of China stock market. The key driving force for the market to start comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference. After a long period of continuous adjustment, the pessimistic expectation and microstructure of A-shares are fully clarified, and the positive signal of decision-makers to steady economic growth and support the capital market is an important cornerstone for the upward revision of long-term expectations and the elevation of the bottom of the stock market. Looking forward to the A-share market in 2025, Fang Yi said that there is still room for the optimistic policy expectation at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, and A-shares are expected to go out of the New Year's market. However, in the case of rising geopolitical conflict risks, the stock index may face a staged headwind. However, as the market stabilizes and revises the economic and policy expectations, the stock index is expected to strengthen again in the second half of 2025. (shanghai securities news)Canada's stock index closed up 0.6% on the day when the central bank cut interest rates, Brazil's real rose over 1% on the day when the central bank raised interest rates, and Canada's S&P /TSX composite index closed up 0.60% at 25,657.70 points, approaching the closing record high of 25,691.80 points on December 6 and the intraday record high of 25,843.20 points on December 9. Small-cap stocks closed up 0.74% at 847.15 points. In late North America on Wednesday (December 11th), the yield of Canada's 10-year benchmark government bonds rose by 6.7 basis points to 3.085%. The yield of debt increase in the two-year period rose by 5.3 basis points to 2.941%. After the US CPI inflation data was released at 21:30 Beijing time, the refresh rate was as low as 2.827%. After the Bank of Canada announced a 50 basis point interest rate cut at 22:45, it pulled back steeply from 2.84% to 2.960% at 03:06. The yield of five-year debt increase rose by 6.1 basis points to 2.891%. Mexico Composite Index closed down 0.17%, while Mexican peso rose 0.11% against the US dollar. The index of Sao Paulo Stock Exchange in Brazil closed up 1.06% to 130,000 points, and since it rose to a record high of 137,000 points on August 28th, it has been continuously and smoothly adjusted back. The Brazilian real rose by 1.43% against the US dollar, and it was reported at R $5.9647 before the Brazilian central bank raised interest rates by 100 basis points and predicted that it would raise interest rates in the next two times.The personal pension system will be expanded soon, and the third pillar of old-age security will be built in an all-round way. Recently, it was reported that the personal pension system will be implemented nationwide on the basis of pilot projects in 36 places. "It should be implemented nationwide soon. In fact, we have been making systematic preparations, and we are now well prepared." The staff of a state-owned bank in a non-pilot city told reporters. Industry researchers also told reporters that when the individual pension system was piloted, relevant supporting policies were made at the end of that year. "If it is fully rolled out according to the previous rhythm, there should be a saying before the end of this year." (Securities Times)

Market participants: In 2025, the steel industry may deduce the upstream profit-making logic. At the 2025 China steel market prospect and the annual meeting of "My Steel", whether the profit space of steel enterprises can be enlarged in 2025, whether the supply-side capacity will be withdrawn in an orderly manner, and what factors should be relied on for the long-term development of enterprises have become the minds of many participants. The industry believes that the survival pressure of steel enterprises may be eased in 2025. The upstream supply of iron ore, coke and coking coal will reduce their prices, and the cost of steel enterprises will fall. The market may deduce the upstream profit-making logic. Market participants said that although steel prices are still expected to decline in 2025, the profit margin of steel enterprises may increase. (SSE)Merger and acquisition, restructuring and opening up a new bureau, market value management has achieved results. Shanghai is a state-owned state-owned enterprise in the big game of capital market, and Shanghai is a major town of state-owned state-owned enterprises. The market value of state-owned listed companies in Shanghai has exceeded 2.7 trillion yuan, which is a powerful state-owned company in the capital market. Since the beginning of this year, Shanghai state-owned listed companies have taken the initiative to take the lead, tried first, actively reformed and innovated, decisively settled in the big chess game of the capital market, opened a new game in mergers and acquisitions, and managed the market value quite effectively, handing over a sample answer sheet. (SSE)Soochow securities: The demand resonance of land, sea and wind installations is optimistic about the long-term growth of the plate. soochow securities released a research report saying that in 2025, the growth rate of wind installations will be high, with long-term growth. Dongfang Cable (603606.SH) and Qifan Cable (605222.SH) are recommended, and Zhongtian Technology (600522.SH) and Hengtong Optoelectronics (600487. SH) are concerned; Daikin Heavy Industry (002487.SZ), Tianshun Wind Energy (002531.SZ), Haili Wind Energy (301155.SZ) and Taisheng Wind Energy (300129.SZ) are recommended.

 Make professional investment easier, explore the application of AI big model in the financial field, and actively embrace big model technology in the financial field. Since the beginning of this year, both financial data terminals and financial technology leaders have actively launched applications based on large models. Related applications are concentrated in high-frequency fields such as man-machine dialogue, intelligent investment and research, and intelligent investment and care, which makes the function of artificial intelligence in assisting investment gradually perfect. Many interviewees said that with the help of artificial intelligence technology, ordinary investors can realize professional-level analysis and decision-making process. This means that the "inclusive" era of professional investment will accelerate. (SSE)Market participants: In 2025, the steel industry may deduce the upstream profit-making logic. At the 2025 China steel market prospect and the annual meeting of "My Steel", whether the profit space of steel enterprises can be enlarged in 2025, whether the supply-side capacity will be withdrawn in an orderly manner, and what factors should be relied on for the long-term development of enterprises have become the minds of many participants. The industry believes that the survival pressure of steel enterprises may be eased in 2025. The upstream supply of iron ore, coke and coking coal will reduce their prices, and the cost of steel enterprises will fall. The market may deduce the upstream profit-making logic. Market participants said that although steel prices are still expected to decline in 2025, the profit margin of steel enterprises may increase. (SSE)